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How does this work?

A valuation is an assessment of the value of one share in a company, it is not necessarily the same as the price listed in the sharemarket. You can use a variety of methods to value a company, Valuecruncher uses Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) analysis to help people create the valuations you see below.

Valuecruncher Valuation

Dollar40Point57
Arrow_up_green7.13% from latest share price

Your Valuation


Valuation Compared to price Member Created Views
$40.57 Arrow_up_green7.13% Valuecruncher 23 Nov 2008 0
$62.65 Arrow_down_red-10.45% TheCrunchBlog 26 Sep 2008 138
$60.34 Arrow_down_red-25.51% GordonGekko 23 Sep 2008 26
$81.16 Arrow_up_green0.48% KiwiEMH 04 Sep 2008 31
$83.39 Arrow_up_green0.34% GordonGekko 19 Aug 2008 34
$79.54 Arrow_down_red-1.2% KiwiEMH 11 Aug 2008 34
$78.46 Arrow_down_red-0.33% KiwiEMH 26 Jul 2008 38
$59.00 Arrow_down_red-19.54% TheCrunchBlog 07 Jul 2008 188
$76.27 Arrow_down_red-4.88% GordonGekko 19 May 2008 51
$44.07 Arrow_down_red-40.87% virtualmark 14 May 2008 46
$58.29 Arrow_down_red-24.6% sethc 05 May 2008 47
$58.11 Arrow_down_red-27.53% Sam 22 Apr 2008 55

Recent Comments


Running The Numbers – Amazon ($AMZN) still looks expensive

This valuation is part of this blog post:

http://blog.valuecruncher.com/2008/09/running-the-numbers-amazon-amzn-still-looks-expensive/

Our assumptions are revenues of US$19.5 billion in 2008 growing to US$30.5 billion in 2010. We have used an EBITDA margin of 7% in 2008 increasing to 8% in 2010. We used a terminal growth rate of 5%. We used a terminal capital expenditure number of US$375 million. We have used a WACC (discount rate) of 10.5%. All of these assumptions can be amended in the Valuecruncher on-line valuation model to adjust the valuation.

Our analysis incorporates the cash and debt on the $AMZN balance sheet – Valuecruncher calculates a net debt number.

Based on our analysis the current share price looks expensive. We recognise that $AMZN has a range of potentially valuable growth options (especially their Web Services platform). Currently it is very difficult to determine a value of these growth options – we have made a broad attempt with our growth projections and terminal growth rate. However, it appears that these options are being valued into the current share price at a level beyond what we are projecting.

By TheCrunchBlog, on the valuation by TheCrunchBlog, about 1 month ago


Is Amazon.com (AMZN) really worth over US$70 a share?

This valuation is part of this blog post:

http://blog.valuecruncher.com/2008/07/is-amazoncom-really-worth-over-70-a-share/

Our assumptions of revenues for the next three years are US$19.5 billion in 2008 increasing to US$29.5 billion in 2010. We have projected EBITDA margins increasing from 7% in 2008 to 8% in 2010.

We have used a terminal growth rate of 5%. Our view is that AMZN’s growth beyond 2010 will slow – but there is a distance to go yet. Our numbers project 2009 to 2010 revenue growth of 23%. This assumption has a significant impact on the valuation. If you believe AMZN has better future prospects – this will positively impact the valuation.

We have used a WACC (discount rate) of 10.5%. The WACC (discount rate) has a material impact on a discounted cash flow valuation (as does the terminal growth rate).

We used a terminal capital expenditure number of US$350 million. In our opinion capital expenditure should stabilize around this number.

By TheCrunchBlog, on the valuation by TheCrunchBlog, 4 months ago


Latest Share Price: $37.87
Updated: 3 hours ago
Ticker: AMZN
Market: NASD