Altria Group, Inc. (MO)
Discount cash flow analysis
Price history
Sensitivity matrix
|
-1% |
Discount Rate % 0% |
1% |
||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| -1% | $52.97 | $52.10 | $51.26 | |
| Terminal Growth% | 0 | $53.31 | $52.43 | $51.58 |
| +1% | $53.65 | $52.76 | $51.90 |
How does a change in discount rate or terminal growth affect valuation?
This table shows the sensitivity of the valuation to two key variables - the discount rate and the terminal growth rate
Valuations and comments
- Valuecruncher created a new valuation of $52.77 (undervalued by 47.44%) - 1 day ago
- PARKERTG created a new valuation of $51.48 (undervalued by 119.34%) - over 2 years ago
- GordonGekko created a new valuation of $19.78 (undervalued by 18.59%) - over 4 years ago
- dweis created a new valuation of $35.55 (undervalued by 118.63%) - over 4 years ago
- contrarian created a new valuation of $27.76 (undervalued by 32.82%) - over 5 years ago
Comments
The boring details
| All amounts in millions | Figures |
| Enterprise Value: | 83,246 |
| Net Debt (Long-term borrowings less cash): | 10,419 |
| Equity Value: | 68,960 |
| Number of Shares Outstanding: | 2,034,000,000 |
| Calculated value per share: | $52.43 |
Enterprise Value is the present value of the post-tax cash flows for a business into the future.
Where:
- C1, C2, C3 - the cash flow in period 1, 2, 3, ...
- r - the discount rate
To capture the cash flows into the future a terminal value is calculated via a perpetuity calculation -
based on the final years forecast post-tax free cash flow.
Where:
- Cn - the cash flow in the final forecast period.
- LTG - the long-term growth rate
- r - the discount rate
- g - the terminal growth rate
The Capital Asset Pricing Model (CAPM) is used to determine the equity component in the discount rate.
Where:
- rt - the risk free rate
- t - the tax rate
- B - the beta of the company
- MRP - the Market Risk Premium
Valuecruncher uses an estimate of Weighted Average Cost of Capital (WACC) to determine the discount rate in the calculation.