QUALCOMM, Inc. (QCOM)

Discount cash flow analysis

5% margin of safety What's this?

Buy Undervalued by 22.2%

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How does this work?

This is an interactive analyst report for QUALCOMM, Inc., based on a discounted cash flow valuation approach.

You can modify the assumptions and the valuation will be updated automatically. You can also save and share your valuation.

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Values in $ millions
2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
 
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What will the revenues be in the future?

Growth beyond year three is driven by the terminal growth rate.

Sensitivity matrix

   
-1% 		Discount Rate %
0%
1%
  -1% $47.93 $47.22 $46.53
Terminal Growth% 0 $48.28 $47.55 $46.85
  +1% $48.64 $47.90 $47.18

How does a change in discount rate or terminal growth affect valuation?

This table shows the sensitivity of the valuation to two key variables - the discount rate and the terminal growth rate

Valuations and comments

  • Valuecruncher created a new valuation of $47.78 (undervalued by 22.83%) - 1 hour ago
  • SethWellbourne created a new valuation of $27.45 (overvalued by 27.52%) - 11 months ago
  • dweis created a new valuation of $14.90 (overvalued by 53.16%) - 1 year ago
  • KiwiEMH created a new valuation of $43.07 (overvalued by 2.93%) - 1 year ago
  • GordonGekko created a new valuation of $44.16 (undervalued by 0.14%) - 1 year ago
  • TheCrunchBlog created a new valuation of $45.11 (undervalued by 0.65%) - 1 year ago
  • monkeybrand created a new valuation of $49.32 (undervalued by 8.13%) - 1 year ago

Comments

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The boring details

All amounts in millions Figures
Enterprise Value: 54,306
Net Debt (Long-term borrowings less cash): -11,069
Equity Value: 63,039
Number of Shares Outstanding: 1,680,000,000
Calculated value per share: $47.55

Enterprise Value is the present value of the post-tax cash flows for a business into the future.

Calcuation of EV

Where:

  • C1, C2, C3 - the cash flow in period 1, 2, 3, ...
  • r - the discount rate

To capture the cash flows into the future a terminal value is calculated via a perpetuity calculation -
based on the final years forecast post-tax free cash flow.

Perpetuity

Where:

  • Cn - the cash flow in the final forecast period.
  • LTG - the long-term growth rate
  • r - the discount rate
  • g - the terminal growth rate

The Capital Asset Pricing Model (CAPM) is used to determine the equity component in the discount rate.

CAPM model

Where:

  • rt - the risk free rate
  • t - the tax rate
  • B - the beta of the company
  • MRP - the Market Risk Premium

Valuecruncher uses an estimate of Weighted Average Cost of Capital (WACC) to determine the discount rate in the calculation.