Johnson & Johnson (JNJ)
Discount cash flow analysis
Price history
Sensitivity matrix
|
-1% |
Discount Rate % 0% |
1% |
||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| -1% | $37.90 | $37.35 | $36.82 | |
| Terminal Growth% | 0 | $38.09 | $37.53 | $37.00 |
| +1% | $38.28 | $37.72 | $37.17 |
How does a change in discount rate or terminal growth affect valuation?
This table shows the sensitivity of the valuation to two key variables - the discount rate and the terminal growth rate
Valuations and comments
- Valuecruncher created a new valuation of $2.46 (overvalued by 95.77%) - 18 hours ago
- sailor100 created a new valuation of $82.04 (undervalued by 39.22%) - 8 months ago
- sailor100 created a new valuation of $74.37 (undervalued by 26.2%) - 8 months ago
- sailor100 created a new valuation of $191.39 (undervalued by 224.78%) - 8 months ago
- sailor100 created a new valuation of $84.77 (undervalued by 43.85%) - 8 months ago
- sailor100 created a new valuation of $45.46 (overvalued by 22.86%) - 8 months ago
- richday101 created a new valuation of $56.96 (overvalued by 5.93%) - 9 months ago
- fproudho created a new valuation of $56.78 (overvalued by 6.26%) - 10 months ago
- oyuna created a new valuation of $56.04 (overvalued by 1.82%) - 1 year ago
- swampler created a new valuation of $55.83 (undervalued by 8.6%) - 1 year ago
- swampler created a new valuation of $64.94 (undervalued by 24.53%) - 1 year ago
- SethWellbourne created a new valuation of $37.53 (overvalued by 29.2%) - 1 year ago
- GordonGekko created a new valuation of $63.89 (undervalued by 10.75%) - 1 year ago
- dweis created a new valuation of $59.13 (overvalued by 2.89%) - 1 year ago
- ffarin created a new valuation of $77.24 (undervalued by 20.05%) - over 2 years ago
Comments
The boring details
| All amounts in millions | Figures |
| Enterprise Value: | 159,843 |
| Net Debt (Long-term borrowings less cash): | -957 |
| Equity Value: | 146,712 |
| Number of Shares Outstanding: | 2,767,000,000 |
| Calculated value per share: | $37.53 |
Enterprise Value is the present value of the post-tax cash flows for a business into the future.
Where:
- C1, C2, C3 - the cash flow in period 1, 2, 3, ...
- r - the discount rate
To capture the cash flows into the future a terminal value is calculated via a perpetuity calculation -
based on the final years forecast post-tax free cash flow.
Where:
- Cn - the cash flow in the final forecast period.
- LTG - the long-term growth rate
- r - the discount rate
- g - the terminal growth rate
The Capital Asset Pricing Model (CAPM) is used to determine the equity component in the discount rate.
Where:
- rt - the risk free rate
- t - the tax rate
- B - the beta of the company
- MRP - the Market Risk Premium
Valuecruncher uses an estimate of Weighted Average Cost of Capital (WACC) to determine the discount rate in the calculation.