West Fraser Timber Co. Ltd. (WFT)
Discount cash flow analysis
Sensitivity matrix
|
-1% |
Discount Rate % 0% |
1% |
||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| -1% | $34.40 | $33.54 | $32.70 | |
| Terminal Growth% | 0 | $34.69 | $33.82 | $32.97 |
| +1% | $34.98 | $34.10 | $33.24 |
How does a change in discount rate or terminal growth affect valuation?
This table shows the sensitivity of the valuation to two key variables - the discount rate and the terminal growth rate
Valuations and comments
- Valuecruncher created a new valuation of $129.00 (undervalued by 56.36%) - 9 hours ago
- GordonGekko created a new valuation of $27.85 (undervalued by 26.13%) - over 4 years ago
- Sam created a new valuation of $33.82 (overvalued by 1.28%) - over 5 years ago
Comments
The boring details
| All amounts in millions | Figures |
| Enterprise Value: | 4,227 |
| Net Debt (Long-term borrowings less cash): | 696 |
| Equity Value: | 1,466 |
| Number of Shares Outstanding: | 42,000,000 |
| Calculated value per share: | $33.82 |
Enterprise Value is the present value of the post-tax cash flows for a business into the future.
Where:
- C1, C2, C3 - the cash flow in period 1, 2, 3, ...
- r - the discount rate
To capture the cash flows into the future a terminal value is calculated via a perpetuity calculation -
based on the final years forecast post-tax free cash flow.
Where:
- Cn - the cash flow in the final forecast period.
- LTG - the long-term growth rate
- r - the discount rate
- g - the terminal growth rate
The Capital Asset Pricing Model (CAPM) is used to determine the equity component in the discount rate.
Where:
- rt - the risk free rate
- t - the tax rate
- B - the beta of the company
- MRP - the Market Risk Premium
Valuecruncher uses an estimate of Weighted Average Cost of Capital (WACC) to determine the discount rate in the calculation.