Google Inc. (GOOG)
Discount cash flow analysis
5% margin of safety What's this?
Sensitivity matrix
|
-1% |
Discount Rate % 0% |
1% |
||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| -1% | $492.48 | $481.86 | $471.72 | |
| Terminal Growth% | 0 | $498.62 | $487.70 | $477.28 |
| +1% | $504.93 | $493.70 | $483.00 |
How does a change in discount rate or terminal growth affect valuation?
This table shows the sensitivity of the valuation to two key variables - the discount rate and the terminal growth rate
Valuations and comments
- Valuecruncher created a new valuation of $450.42 (undervalued by 10.26%) - 11 minutes ago
- GordonGekko created a new valuation of $448.59 (undervalued by 3.92%) - 29 days ago
- tekne created a new valuation of $558.16 (undervalued by 39.93%) - 1 month ago
- tekne created a new valuation of $312.92 (overvalued by 21.55%) - 1 month ago
- Lespe959 created a new valuation of $412.53 (undervalued by 3.42%) - 1 month ago
- GordonGekko created a new valuation of $412.09 (undervalued by 2.14%) - 1 month ago
- SethWellbourne created a new valuation of $392.92 (undervalued by 3.0%) - 2 months ago
- SethWellbourne created a new valuation of $521.71 (undervalued by 52.24%) - 3 months ago
- rthwrm created a new valuation of $370.11 (undervalued by 12.1%) - 3 months ago
- mlongval created a new valuation of $370.11 (undervalued by 12.1%) - 3 months ago
- GordonGekko created a new valuation of $369.98 (undervalued by 12.06%) - 3 months ago
- GordonGekko created a new valuation of $369.64 (undervalued by 16.27%) - 3 months ago
- rs12345 created a new valuation of $253.99 (overvalued by 16.9%) - 3 months ago
- rs12345 created a new valuation of $283.27 (overvalued by 7.32%) - 3 months ago
- nzvikram created a new valuation of $616.76 (undervalued by 74.67%) - 4 months ago
- tiger created a new valuation of $279.25 (overvalued by 0.06%) - 7 months ago
- rjbullock created a new valuation of $260.06 (overvalued by 0.9%) - 7 months ago
- dweis created a new valuation of $273.41 (overvalued by 8.07%) - 7 months ago
- KiwiEMH created a new valuation of $318.88 (undervalued by 2.86%) - 7 months ago
- anoop249 created a new valuation of $472.63 (undervalued by 26.87%) - 8 months ago
- TheCrunchBlog created a new valuation of $416.73 (undervalued by 22.87%) - 8 months ago
- KiwiEMH created a new valuation of $337.31 (undervalued by 1.6%) - 8 months ago
- TheCrunchBlog created a new valuation of $352.67 (overvalued by 7.44%) - 9 months ago
- TheCrunchBlog created a new valuation of $304.96 (overvalued by 29.25%) - 9 months ago
- TheCrunchBlog created a new valuation of $493.88 (undervalued by 9.96%) - 9 months ago
- GordonGekko created a new valuation of $438.65 (undervalued by 5.91%) - 9 months ago
- veter created a new valuation of $175.18 (overvalued by 58.29%) - 9 months ago
- KiwiEMH created a new valuation of $479.36 (overvalued by 0.78%) - 11 months ago
- MarkC created a new valuation of $528.69 (overvalued by 4.74%) - 1 year ago
- Sam created a new valuation of $473.45 (overvalued by 14.69%) - 1 year ago
- andrew created a new valuation of $260.15 (overvalued by 54.61%) - 1 year ago
- benkepes created a new valuation of $346.02 (overvalued by 39.96%) - 1 year ago
- acoy created a new valuation of $487.70 (overvalued by 16.06%) - 1 year ago
- andrew created a new valuation of $285.51 (overvalued by 47.58%) - 1 year ago
- TheCrunchBlog created a new valuation of $481.94 (overvalued by 11.13%) - 1 year ago
- TheCrunchBlog created a new valuation of $590.39 (undervalued by 8.87%) - 1 year ago
- TheCrunchBlog created a new valuation of $363.22 (overvalued by 33.02%) - 1 year ago
- TheCrunchBlog created a new valuation of $507.85 (overvalued by 6.35%) - 1 year ago
- sthapit created a new valuation of $456.39 (overvalued by 15.84%) - 1 year ago
- GordonGekko created a new valuation of $1038.75 (undervalued by 97.32%) - 1 year ago
- TheCrunchBlog created a new valuation of $1038.75 (undervalued by 97.32%) - 1 year ago
- ffarin created a new valuation of $476.03 (overvalued by 9.57%) - 1 year ago
- matrixxx created a new valuation of $220.11 (overvalued by 54.74%) - 1 year ago
- DART created a new valuation of $223.63 (overvalued by 55.51%) - 1 year ago
- GordonGekko created a new valuation of $606.64 (undervalued by 9.3%) - 1 year ago
Comments
The boring details
| All amounts in millions | Figures |
| Enterprise Value: | 114,085 |
| Net Debt (Long-term borrowings less cash): | -14,218 |
| Equity Value: | 182,487 |
| Number of Shares Outstanding: | 314,000,000 |
| Calculated value per share: | $487.70 |
Enterprise Value is the present value of the post-tax cash flows for a business into the future.
Where:
- C1, C2, C3 - the cash flow in period 1, 2, 3, ...
- r - the discount rate
To capture the cash flows into the future a terminal value is calculated via a perpetuity calculation -
based on the final years forecast post-tax free cash flow.
Where:
- Cn - the cash flow in the final forecast period.
- LTG - the long-term growth rate
- r - the discount rate
- g - the terminal growth rate
The Capital Asset Pricing Model (CAPM) is used to determine the equity component in the discount rate.
Where:
- rt - the risk free rate
- t - the tax rate
- B - the beta of the company
- MRP - the Market Risk Premium
Valuecruncher uses an estimate of Weighted Average Cost of Capital (WACC) to determine the discount rate in the calculation.