Apple Inc. (AAPL)
Discount cash flow analysis
Sensitivity matrix
-1% |
Discount Rate % 0% |
1% |
||
---|---|---|---|---|
-1% | $140.24 | $138.35 | $136.52 | |
Terminal Growth% | 0 | $141.08 | $139.16 | $137.31 |
+1% | $141.94 | $139.99 | $138.10 |
How does a change in discount rate or terminal growth affect valuation?
This table shows the sensitivity of the valuation to two key variables - the discount rate and the terminal growth rate
Valuations and comments
- Valuecruncher created a new valuation of $103.13 (overvalued by 3.56%) - 18 hours ago
- kudzi created a new valuation of $438.13 (undervalued by 4.32%) - almost 5 years ago
- RidleySmith created a new valuation of $315.73 (overvalued by 17.96%) - almost 5 years ago
- RidleySmith created a new valuation of $251.02 (overvalued by 34.77%) - almost 5 years ago
- RidleySmith created a new valuation of $367.60 (overvalued by 4.48%) - almost 5 years ago
- GordonGekko created a new valuation of $372.20 (undervalued by 9.85%) - over 5 years ago
- GordonGekko created a new valuation of $274.02 (undervalued by 12.72%) - almost 6 years ago
- GordonGekko created a new valuation of $267.28 (undervalued by 5.3%) - over 6 years ago
- LennyTsatskin created a new valuation of $162.44 (overvalued by 38.01%) - over 6 years ago
- hfdsfgh created a new valuation of $195.60 (overvalued by 11.99%) - over 6 years ago
- hfdsfgh created a new valuation of $146.70 (overvalued by 34.7%) - over 6 years ago
- hfdsfgh created a new valuation of $146.70 (overvalued by 34.7%) - over 6 years ago
- wantes created a new valuation of $225.61 (undervalued by 12.43%) - over 6 years ago
- tobyzero created a new valuation of $194.49 (overvalued by 2.41%) - over 6 years ago
- tnaga created a new valuation of $306.10 (undervalued by 50.73%) - over 6 years ago
- tnaga created a new valuation of $340.27 (undervalued by 67.55%) - over 6 years ago
- GordonGekko created a new valuation of $189.23 (overvalued by 4.31%) - over 6 years ago
- antbatalha created a new valuation of $187.47 (overvalued by 9.9%) - over 6 years ago
- mikedemon created a new valuation of $180.26 (overvalued by 13.79%) - over 6 years ago
- denmwa2030ce created a new valuation of $202.64 (undervalued by 4.82%) - over 6 years ago
- denmwa2030ce created a new valuation of $190.17 (overvalued by 1.63%) - over 6 years ago
- denmwa2030ce created a new valuation of $235.72 (undervalued by 21.93%) - over 6 years ago
- SethWellbourne created a new valuation of $192.30 (overvalued by 0.05%) - almost 7 years ago
- sh0n created a new valuation of $184.36 (overvalued by 2.9%) - almost 7 years ago
- sh0n created a new valuation of $186.13 (overvalued by 1.96%) - almost 7 years ago
- sh0n created a new valuation of $179.67 (overvalued by 5.37%) - almost 7 years ago
- GordonGekko created a new valuation of $176.16 (overvalued by 7.29%) - almost 7 years ago
- burakakduman created a new valuation of $174.76 (overvalued by 6.05%) - almost 7 years ago
- burakakduman created a new valuation of $44.97 (overvalued by 75.83%) - almost 7 years ago
- burakakduman created a new valuation of $168.06 (overvalued by 9.65%) - almost 7 years ago
- spike created a new valuation of $190.14 (undervalued by 10.44%) - almost 7 years ago
- spike created a new valuation of $341.69 (undervalued by 98.47%) - almost 7 years ago
- spike created a new valuation of $341.69 (undervalued by 98.47%) - almost 7 years ago
- laguerriere created a new valuation of $161.80 (overvalued by 2.27%) - 7 years ago
- GordonGekko created a new valuation of $161.62 (undervalued by 1.02%) - 7 years ago
- manchini created a new valuation of $155.77 (undervalued by 2.65%) - 7 years ago
- manchini created a new valuation of $445.71 (undervalued by 193.71%) - 7 years ago
- gvrtalks created a new valuation of $140.87 (undervalued by 0.61%) - 7 years ago
- gvrtalks created a new valuation of $140.87 (undervalued by 0.61%) - 7 years ago
- divechip created a new valuation of $150.84 (undervalued by 8.14%) - 7 years ago
- divechip created a new valuation of $140.67 (undervalued by 0.85%) - 7 years ago
- seamuskrat created a new valuation of $140.59 (undervalued by 3.31%) - 7 years ago
- jschern created a new valuation of $164.59 (undervalued by 20.16%) - 7 years ago
- jschern created a new valuation of $116.05 (overvalued by 15.27%) - 7 years ago
- jschern created a new valuation of $157.75 (undervalued by 15.17%) - 7 years ago
- GordonGekko created a new valuation of $140.57 (undervalued by 2.63%) - 7 years ago
- kdevcich created a new valuation of $164.66 (undervalued by 15.37%) - 7 years ago
- kdevcich created a new valuation of $140.59 (overvalued by 1.49%) - 7 years ago
- kdevcich created a new valuation of $139.48 (overvalued by 2.27%) - 7 years ago
- GordonGekko created a new valuation of $139.16 (overvalued by 1.27%) - 7 years ago
- dimpi created a new valuation of $93.67 (overvalued by 28.38%) - over 7 years ago
- ckc2 created a new valuation of $126.68 (overvalued by 0.44%) - over 7 years ago
- ckc2 created a new valuation of $145.62 (undervalued by 17.53%) - over 7 years ago
- SethWellbourne created a new valuation of $101.20 (overvalued by 16.89%) - over 7 years ago
- Brownmp created a new valuation of $141.59 (undervalued by 14.72%) - over 7 years ago
- GordonGekko created a new valuation of $125.75 (undervalued by 9.35%) - over 7 years ago
- SethWellbourne created a new valuation of $121.48 (undervalued by 2.56%) - over 7 years ago
- SethWellbourne created a new valuation of $115.44 (undervalued by 10.48%) - over 7 years ago
- mlongval created a new valuation of $100.82 (overvalued by 0.76%) - over 7 years ago
- rs12345 created a new valuation of $91.18 (undervalued by 2.63%) - over 7 years ago
- rs12345 created a new valuation of $78.43 (overvalued by 11.72%) - over 7 years ago
- GordonGekko created a new valuation of $96.00 (undervalued by 0.1%) - over 7 years ago
- GordonGekko created a new valuation of $118.87 (undervalued by 10.48%) - almost 8 years ago
- GordonGekko created a new valuation of $125.99 (undervalued by 29.79%) - almost 8 years ago
- TheCrunchBlog created a new valuation of $163.98 (undervalued by 16.37%) - almost 8 years ago
- andrew created a new valuation of $91.09 (overvalued by 49.72%) - over 8 years ago
- LordTrask created a new valuation of $150.67 (overvalued by 16.84%) - over 8 years ago
- benkepes created a new valuation of $74.80 (overvalued by 59.84%) - over 8 years ago
- Abo created a new valuation of $100.47 (overvalued by 46.6%) - over 8 years ago
- jeremy created a new valuation of $199.59 (undervalued by 6.07%) - over 8 years ago
- GordonGekko created a new valuation of $144.74 (overvalued by 19.59%) - over 8 years ago
- lancewiggs created a new valuation of $219.71 (undervalued by 29.45%) - over 8 years ago
- jeremy created a new valuation of $200.12 (undervalued by 7.53%) - over 8 years ago
- Philip created a new valuation of $116.63 (overvalued by 37.33%) - over 8 years ago
- KiwiEMH created a new valuation of $166.28 (overvalued by 10.65%) - over 8 years ago
- TheCrunchBlog created a new valuation of $146.70 (overvalued by 21.17%) - over 8 years ago
- TheCrunchBlog created a new valuation of $197.63 (undervalued by 6.2%) - over 8 years ago
- stuartm created a new valuation of $228.96 (undervalued by 23.52%) - over 8 years ago
- acoy created a new valuation of $96.26 (overvalued by 47.0%) - over 8 years ago
- andrew created a new valuation of $99.27 (overvalued by 40.71%) - over 8 years ago
- Gaurav created a new valuation of $175.53 (overvalued by 5.68%) - over 8 years ago
- TheCrunchBlog created a new valuation of $149.75 (overvalued by 9.95%) - over 8 years ago
- jeremy created a new valuation of $156.43 (overvalued by 6.98%) - over 8 years ago
Comments
The boring details
All amounts in millions | Figures |
Enterprise Value: | 70,912 |
Net Debt (Long-term borrowings less cash): | -24,490 |
Equity Value: | 125,742 |
Number of Shares Outstanding: | 892,000,000 |
Calculated value per share: | $139.16 |
Enterprise Value is the present value of the post-tax cash flows for a business into the future.
Where:
- C1, C2, C3 - the cash flow in period 1, 2, 3, ...
- r - the discount rate
To capture the cash flows into the future a terminal value is calculated via a perpetuity calculation -
based on the final years forecast post-tax free cash flow.
Where:
- Cn - the cash flow in the final forecast period.
- LTG - the long-term growth rate
- r - the discount rate
- g - the terminal growth rate
The Capital Asset Pricing Model (CAPM) is used to determine the equity component in the discount rate.
Where:
- rt - the risk free rate
- t - the tax rate
- B - the beta of the company
- MRP - the Market Risk Premium
Valuecruncher uses an estimate of Weighted Average Cost of Capital (WACC) to determine the discount rate in the calculation.